Variety Awards Circuit part is the house for all awards information and associated content material all year long, that includes the next: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages mirror the present standings in the race and don’t mirror private preferences for any particular person contender. As different formal (and casual) polls recommend, competitions are fluid and topic to vary based mostly on buzz and occasions. Predictions are up to date each Thursday.
Pedro Pascal in “The Last of Us”
HBO / Liane Hentscher
Emmys Commentary (Updated: May 1, 2025): The street to the Emmys are formally underway, and if there’s one factor that’s already clear — it’s anybody’s recreation. A trio of heavy-hitters leads the cost in the drama sequence race: Apple TV+’s existential thriller “Severance,” HBO’s genre-defying epic “The Last of Us,” and HBO/Max’s gripping medical drama “The Pitt.”
On the comedy facet, the competitors is simply as intense. FX’s “The Bear” is trying to make historical past as Jeremy Allen White eyes a possible third straight win for excellent lead actor in a comedy. If he pulls it off, he would be a part of Michael J. Fox as the one actor to three-peat in the class. Meanwhile, HBO/Max’s “Hacks” returned in high kind, seamlessly mixing biting wit with poignant character arcs. And then there’s “The Studio,” Apple TV+’s behind-the-scenes send-up of Hollywood starring and co-created by Seth Rogen. The present’s inside-baseball enchantment and intelligent writing have made it a vital favourite and a possible main contender.
The restricted sequence classes provide no scarcity of star energy or inventive ambition (even when there’s a scarcity of submissions with about 33 in the meanwhile). Netflix’s “Adolescence,” the British crime and household drama, is undoubtedly the one to beat. Colin Farrell’s transformative efficiency in HBO/Max’s “The Penguin” pushes the Batman universe into status territory, whereas Netflix’s different triumph comes in the type of “Black Mirror,” which got here roaring again with a season that felt eerily aligned with our present tech-obsessed second. Even after greater than a decade, the anthology sequence nonetheless finds methods to rattle viewers — and Emmy voters — with its chilling cautionary tales.
But past the anticipated frontrunners, it’s the class maneuvering and strategic submissions which can be drawing a number of the season’s loudest buzz.
Netflix stirred dialog by coming into “The Perfect Couple” into the drama sequence race — reasonably than as a restricted or anthology sequence, which would appear a extra pure match to nab noms for Nicole Kidman and Liev Schreiber.
Another notable transfer comes from Ruth Negga, who’s submitting as lead actress (restricted) for her function in Apple’s “Presumed Innocent.” In a yr brimming with sturdy feminine leads, Negga’s resolution displays confidence in the depth of her efficiency. But will it repay?
Meanwhile, Helen Mirren may discover herself in rarefied Emmy firm with potential for 2 separate sequence. She has been submitted in the supporting drama actress for “MobLand,” a gritty, ensemble-driven crime drama on Paramount+, whereas her flip in the second season of “1923,” a part of the increasing “Yellowstone” universe, retains her in the working for a lead drama actress nod.
One space experiencing vital change is the excellent selection discuss sequence class. With solely round a dozen reveals eligible this yr, Emmy guidelines dictate that simply three nominees shall be introduced (if that holds). That opens the door for a potential disruption — other than mainstays like Stephen Colbert, Jimmy Kimmel and Seth Meyers who may miss out — all eyes are on “Hot Ones.” Could Sean Evans’ chicken-eating sequence lastly breakout in a significant approach for YouTube?
Check out this week’s Emmy predictions in key sequence and performing classes beneath. Emmy submissions are due Thursday, May 8. The nomination voting window runs from June 12 to June 23, with official nominations set to be introduced in July.
Nomination leaders (studios): HBO/Max (45); Apple TV+ (41); Netflix (40)
Nomination leaders (sequence): “Severance” and “The Studio” (12); “The Last of Us” and “The White Lotus” (10); “The Bear” (9); “Adolescence,” “Black Mirror” and “Hacks” (8)
*** = PREDICTED WINNER
(All predicted nominees listed beneath are in alphabetical order)
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Drama Series
Image Credit: Courtesy of Apple TV+ “Andor” (Disney+)
“The Diplomat” (Netflix)
“The Last of Us” (HBO/Max)
“The Pitt” (HBO/Max)
“Severance” (Apple TV+) ***
“Slow Horses” (Apple TV+)
“Squid Game” (Netflix)
“The White Lotus” (HBO/Max) -
Comedy Series
Image Credit: Courtesy of Netflix “Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
“The Bear” (FX)
“The Four Seasons” (Netflix)
“Hacks” (HBO/Max) ***
“Nobody Wants This” (Netflix)
“Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu)
“Shrinking” (Apple TV+)
“The Studio” (Apple TV+) -
Limited or Anthology Series
Image Credit: by way of Netflix “Adolescence” (Netflix) ***
“Black Mirror” (Netflix)
“Disclaimer” (Apple TV+)
“Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story” (Netflix)
“The Penguin” (HBO/Max) -
Television Movie
Image Credit: Peacock/Universal “Bridget Jones: Mad About a Boy” (Peacock)
“The Gorge” (Apple TV+)
“Mountainhead” (HBO/Max)
“Out of My Mind” (Disney+)
“Rebel Ridge” (Netflix) *** -
Lead Actor (Drama)
Image Credit: Apple TV+ Sterling Okay. Brown
“Paradise” (Hulu)
Jon Hamm
“Your Friends and Neighbors” (Apple TV+)
Gary Oldman
“Slow Horses” (Apple TV+)
Adam Scott
“Severance” (Apple TV+)
Billy Bob Thornton
“Landman” (Paramount+)
Noah Wyle ***
“The Pitt” (HBO/Max) -
Lead Actor (Comedy)
Image Credit: Disney Adam Brody
“Nobody Wants This” (Netflix)
Seth Rogen ***
“The Studio” (Apple TV+)
Jason Segel
“Shrinking” (Apple TV+)
Martin Short
“Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu)
Jeremy Allen White
“The Bear” (FX) -
Lead Actor (Limited/TV Movie)
Image Credit: Courtesy of Max Colin Farrell ***
“The Penguin” (HBO/Max)
Paul Giamatti
“Black Mirror” (Netflix)
Stephen Graham
“Adolescence” (Netflix)
Brian Tyree Henry
“Dope Thief” (Apple TV+)
Cooper Koch
“Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story” (Netflix) -
Lead Actress (Drama)
Image Credit: AppleTV+ Kathy Bates ***
“Matlock” (CBS)
Britt Lower
“Severance” (Apple TV+)
Melanie Lynskey
“Yellowjackets” (Paramount+)
Elisabeth Moss
“The Handmaid’s Tale” (Hulu)
Bella Ramsey
“The Last of Us” (HBO/Max)
Keri Russell
“The Diplomat” (Netflix) -
Lead Actress (Comedy)
Image Credit: Max Kristen Bell
“Nobody Wants This” (Netflix)
Quinta Brunson
“Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
Ayo Edebiri
“The Bear” (FX)
Natasha Lyonne
“Poker Face” (Peacock)
Jean Smart ***
“Hacks” (HBO/Max) -
Lead Actress (Limited/TV Movie)
Image Credit: Matt Infante/Peacock Cate Blanchett
“Disclaimer” (Apple TV+)
Rashida Jones
“Black Mirror” (Netflix)
Cristin Milioti ***
“The Penguin” (HBO/Max)
Amanda Seyfried
“Long Bright River” (Peacock)
Michelle Williams
“Dying for Sex” (FX) -
Supporting Actor (Drama)
Image Credit: Warrick Page/MAX Patrick Ball
“The Pitt” (HBO/Max)
Zach Cherry
“Severance” (Apple TV+)
Walton Goggins
“The White Lotus” (HBO/Max)
Jason Isaacs
“The White Lotus” (HBO/Max)
Young Mazino
“The Last of Us” (HBO/Max)
Sam Rockwell
“The White Lotus” (HBO/Max)
Tramell Tillman ***
“Severance” (Apple TV+)
John Turturro
“Severance” (Apple TV+) -
Supporting Actor (Comedy)
Image Credit: Courtesy of Apple TV+ Ike Barinholtz
“The Studio” (Apple TV+)
Colman Domingo
“The Four Seasons” (Netflix)
Paul W. Downs
“Hacks” (HBO/Max)
Harrison Ford
“Shrinking” (Apple TV+)
Ebon Moss-Bachrach ***
“The Bear” (FX)
Tyler James Williams
“Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
Bowen Yang
“Saturday Night Live” (NBC) -
Supporting Actor (Limited/TV Movie)
Image Credit: Apple TV+ Javier Bardem
“Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story” (Netflix)
Owen Cooper ***
“Adolescence” (Netflix)
Rob Delaney
“Dying for Sex” (FX)
Rhenzy Felix
“The Penguin” (HBO/Max)
Diego Luna
“La Máquina” (Hulu)
Wagner Moura
“Dope Thief” (Apple TV+)
Ashley Walters
“Adolescence” (Netflix) -
Supporting Actress (Drama)
Image Credit: HBO Patricia Arquette
“Severance” (Apple TV+)
Leslie Bibb
“The White Lotus” (HBO/Max)
Carrie Coon ***
“The White Lotus” (HBO/Max)
Fiona Dourif
“The Pitt” (HBO/Max)
Allison Janney
“The Diplomat” (Netflix)
Katherine LaNasa
“The Pitt” (HBO/Max)
Isabela Merced
“The Last of Us” (HBO/Max)
Parker Posey
“The White Lotus” (HBO/Max) -
Supporting Actress (Comedy)
Image Credit: Chuck Hodes Liza Colón-Zayas
“The Bear” (FX)
Hannah Einbinder
“Hacks” (HBO/Max)
Kathryn Hahn
“The Studio” (Apple TV+)
Janelle James ***
“Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
Catherine O’Hara
“The Studio” (Apple TV+)
Sheryl Lee Ralph
“Abbott Elementary” (ABC) -
Supporting Actress (Limited/TV Movie)
Image Credit: Courtesy of Netflix Emma Corrin
“Black Mirror” (Netflix)
Erin Doherty ***
“Adolescence” (Netflix)
Lesley Manville
“Disclaimer” (Apple TV+)
Cristin Milioti
“Black Mirror” (Netflix)
Deirdre O’Connell
“The Penguin” (HBO/Max)
Jenny Slate
“Dying for Sex” (FX)
Christine Tremarco
“Adolescence” (Netflix) -
Guest Actor (Drama)
Image Credit: Getty / Naughty Dog Andy Garcia
“Landman” (Paramount+)
Scott Glenn ***
“The White Lotus” (HBO/Max)
Shawn Hatosy
“The Pitt” (HBO/Max)
Joe Pantoliano
“The Last of Us” (HBO/Max)
Jeffrey Wright
“The Last of Us” (HBO/Max)Emmy class web page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
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Guest Actress (Drama)
Image Credit: Kailey Schwerman/Paramount+ with SHOWTIME Gwendoline Christie
“Severance” (Apple TV+)
Kaitlyn Dever ***
“The Last of Us” (HBO/Max)
Catherine O’Hara
“The Last of Us” (HBO/Max)
Hilary Swank
“Yellowjackets” (Paramount+)
Merrit Wever
“Severance” (Apple TV+)Emmy class web page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
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Guest Actor (Comedy)
Image Credit: NBC Jon Bernthal
“The Bear” (FX)
John Cena ***
“The Bear” (FX)
Bryan Cranston
“The Studio” (Apple TV+)
Timothée Chalamet
“Saturday Night Live” (NBC)
Christopher McDonald
“Hacks” (HBO/Max)
Martin Scorsese
“The Studio” (Apple TV+)Emmy class web page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
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Guest Actress (Comedy)
Image Credit: Variety Jamie Lee Curtis
“The Bear” (FX)
Cynthia Erivo
“Poker Face” (Peacock)
Ariana Grande
“Saturday Night Live” (NBC)
Melissa McCarthy
“Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu)
Julianne Nicholson ***
“Hacks” (HBO/Max)
Sarah Polley
“The Studio” (Apple TV+)Emmy class web page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
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Talk Series
Image Credit: Courtesy of YouTube “The Daily Show” (Comedy Central) ***
“Hot Ones” (YouTube)
“The Late Show with Stephen Colbert” (CBS)Emmy class web page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
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Scripted Variety
Image Credit: NBC “Last Week Tonight with John Oliver” (HBO/Max) ***
“Saturday Night Live” (NBC)Emmy class web page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
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Directing (Drama)
Image Credit: No Ju-han/Netflix “Andor” (Disney+)
Alonso Ruizpalacios, TBA
“The Last of Us” (HBO/Max) ***
Mark Mylod, “Through the Valley”
“The Pitt” (HBO/Max)
John Wells, “7:00 A.M.”
“Severance” (Apple TV+)
Jessica Lee Gagné, “Chikhai Bardo”
“Severance” (Apple TV+)
Ben Stiller, “Cold Harbor”
“Squid Game” (Netflix)
Hwang Dong-hyuk, “Friend or Foe”
“The White Lotus” (HBO/Max)
Mike White, “Amor Fati”Emmy class web page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
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Directing (Comedy)
Image Credit: Disney “The Bear” (FX)
Ayo Edebiri, “Napkins”
“The Four Seasons” (Netflix)
Shari Springer Berman and Robert Pulcini, “Pilot”
“Hacks” (HBO/Max)
Lucia Aniello, “Big, Brave Girl”
“Mid-Century Modern” (Hulu)
James Burrows, “Here’s to You, Mrs. Schneiderman”
“The Ms. Pat Show” (BET)
Mary Lou Belli, TBA
“Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu)
John Hoffman, “Once Upon a Time in the West”
“The Studio” (Apple TV+) ***
Seth Rogen & Evan Goldberg, “The Oner”Emmy class web page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
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Directing (Limited or Anthology/TV Movie)
Image Credit: Courtesy of Michael Becker/Apple TV+ “Adolescence” (Netflix)
Philip Barantini, Series
“Black Mirror” (Netflix)
Chris Barrett & Luke Taylor, “Eulogy”
“Disclaimer” (Apple TV+)
Alfonso Cuarón, Series
“Dope Thief” (Apple TV+)
Ridley Scott, “Jolly Ranchers”
“The Penguin” (HBO/Max)
Craig Zobel, “After Hours”
“Presumed Innocent” (Apple TV+)
Anne Sewitsky, “The Verdict”Emmy class web page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
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Writing (Drama)
Image Credit: Paramount+ “The Agency” (Paramount+)
“The Bends” by Jez Butterworth, John-Henry Butterworth
“Andor” (Disney+)
“Episode #2.1” by Tony Gilroy
“The Last of Us” (HBO/Max)
“Through the Valley” by Craig Mazin
“Matlock” (CBS)
“Pilot” by Jennie Snyder Urman
“Severance” (Apple TV+) ***
“210: Cold Harbor” by Dan Erickson
“Slow Horses” (Apple TV+)
“Hello Goodbye” by Will Smith
“The White Lotus” (HBO/Max)
“Full-Moon Party” by Mike WhiteEmmy class web page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
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Writing (Comedy)
Image Credit: Courtesy of Apple TV+ “The Four Seasons” (Netflix)
“TBA Episode 1” by Tina Fey & Lang Fisher & Tracey Wigfield
“Hacks” (HBO/Max) ***
“Big, Brave Girl” by Lucia Aniello & Paul W. Downs & Jen Statsky
“The Studio” (Apple TV+)
“CinemaCon” by Alex Gregory
“The Studio” (Apple TV+)
“The Golden Globes” by Peter Huyck
“The Studio” (Apple TV+)
“The Promotion” by Seth Rogen & Evan Goldberg & Peter Huyck & Alex Gregory & Frida Perez
“What We Do in the Shadows” (FX)
“The Finale” by Sam Johnson & Sarah Naftalis & Paul SimmsEmmy class web page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
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Writing (Limited/TV Movie)
Image Credit: Apple TV+ “Adolescence” (Netflix) ***
Series by Stephen Graham and Jack Thorne
“Black Mirror” (Netflix)
“Common Ground” by Charlie Brooker
“Black Mirror” (Netflix)
“Eulogy” by Charlie Brooker & Ella Road
“Disclaimer” (Apple TV+)
Series by Alfonso Cuarón
“Dying for Sex” (FX)
“Good Value Diet Soda” by Kim Rosenstock & Elizabeth Meriwether
“The Penguin” (HBO/Max)
“After Hours” by Lauren LeFrancEmmy class web page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
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Short Form (Comedy/Drama/Variety)
Image Credit: SHAUN NIX/NETFLIX “Bad Thoughts” (Netflix) ***
“The Daily Show: Desi Lydic Fox-splains” (Comedy Central)
“Good Mythical Morning” (YouTube)
“Late Night with Seth Meyers: CORRECTIONS” (NBC)
“Only Murders in the Building: One Killer Question” (Hulu)Emmy class web page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
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Variety Special (Pre-Recorded)
Image Credit: Courtesy of Netflix “Adam Sandler: Love You” (Netflix)
“Ali Wong: Single Lady” (Netflix) ***
“Brett Goldstein: The Second Best Night of Your Life” (HBO/Max)
“The Rock & Roll Hall of Fame: Induction 2024” (ABC)
“Sarah Silverman: Post Mortem” (Netflix)Emmy class web page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
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Game Show
Image Credit: Sony Pictures Television “Celebrity Family Feud” (ABC)
“Jeopardy” (ABC) ***
“Password” (NBC)
“The Price is Right” (CBS)
“Celebrity Wheel of Fortune” (ABC)Emmy class web page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
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Reality Competition Program
Image Credit: Euan Cherry/Peacock “The Amazing Race” (CBS)
“RuPaul’s Drag Race” (MTV)
“Survivor” (CBS)
“Top Chef” (Bravo)
“The Traitors” (Peacock) ***Emmy class web page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
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Structured Reality
Image Credit: COURTESY OF NETFLIX “Antiques Roadshow” (PBS)
“Diners, Drive-Ins and Dives” (Food Network)
“Love is Blind” (Netflix)
“Queer Eye” (Netflix)
“Shark Tank” (ABC) ***Emmy class web page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
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Unstructured Reality
Image Credit: Netflix “Below Deck Down Under” (Bravo)
“Love on the Spectrum” (Netflix) ***
“RuPaul’s Drag Race Untucked” (MTV)
“Selling Sunset” (Netflix)
“Welcome to Wrexham” (FX)Emmy class web page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
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More Information
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About the Primetime Emmy Awards
The Primetime Emmy Awards, generally generally known as the Emmys, are awarded by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Established in 1949, these have fun excellent achievements in American primetime tv. The Emmys are categorized into three divisions: the Primetime Emmy Awards for efficiency and manufacturing excellence; the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards, recognizing achievements in artistry and craftsmanship; and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards, which honor vital engineering and technological developments. The eligibility interval usually extends from June 1 to May 31 every year. The Television Academy hosts the Emmys and has over 20,000 members throughout 30 skilled peer teams, together with performers, administrators, producers, artwork administrators, artisans and executives.
